Yahoo economists: Obama reelection's in the bag

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Mr. G
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Yahoo economists: Obama reelection's in the bag

Postby Mr. G » Sun Feb 19, 2012 3:52 pm

The elections are still nine months away, but a couple of economists say their data already point to an Obama victory. A couple of economic researchers working for Yahoo say they have developed a forecasting model that predicts a win for President Barack Obama this November.

The model, created by David Rothschild and Patrick Hummel, predicts that Mr. Obama will carry 303 electoral votes this fall. At the same time, they say that several states contests remain virtual toss-ups.


Josef
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Re: Yahoo economists: Obama reelection's in the bag

Postby Josef » Sun Feb 19, 2012 4:39 pm

I have thought Obama's re-election was in the bag the moment the Tea-Party won big in 2010.
They have exhausted all of their parties political capital.

Rick Santorum is also the single most dangerous political candidate for any office that I have ever seen.
He is basically running on the Taliban ticket and is completely unelectable, while Mitt Ronmey isn't even sure if he himself is a republican.

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Mr. G
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Re: Yahoo economists: Obama reelection's in the bag

Postby Mr. G » Sun Feb 19, 2012 4:51 pm

Oh absolutely. The Republican lineup is a disaster. There would be a greater chance of this guy winning if he ran:


Josef
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Re: Yahoo economists: Obama reelection's in the bag

Postby Josef » Sun Feb 19, 2012 4:55 pm


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Bhavana
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Re: Yahoo economists: Obama reelection's in the bag

Postby Bhavana » Sun Feb 19, 2012 5:06 pm

maybe, maybe not. I can't say I am really happy with the republican candidates myself, but I'd vote for Mickey Mouse if he was running against Obama.

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Nemo
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Re: Yahoo economists: Obama reelection's in the bag

Postby Nemo » Sun Feb 19, 2012 5:16 pm


Josef
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Re: Yahoo economists: Obama reelection's in the bag

Postby Josef » Sun Feb 19, 2012 6:04 pm


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Lhug-Pa
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Re: Yahoo economists: Obama reelection's in the bag

Postby Lhug-Pa » Sun Feb 19, 2012 6:24 pm


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Mr. G
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Re: Yahoo economists: Obama reelection's in the bag

Postby Mr. G » Sun Feb 19, 2012 6:27 pm

I don't think Ron Paul is the answer.


Josef
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Re: Yahoo economists: Obama reelection's in the bag

Postby Josef » Sun Feb 19, 2012 6:31 pm

I don't get the Ron Paul thing.
His foreign policy ideas sound great but the rest of his policy ideas seem just plain crazy to me.

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Lhug-Pa
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Re: Yahoo economists: Obama reelection's in the bag

Postby Lhug-Pa » Sun Feb 19, 2012 6:37 pm

I've seen various critiques of Ron Paul's ideas by Noam Chomsky and sometimes Chomsky agrees with Ron Paul a lot more. I don't think Noam Chomsky has Ron Paul's whole side of the story in the above clip, and therefore doesn't provide the entire context.

Ron Paul may be a free-market capitalist; but he's still an anticorporatist, unlike Barack Obama.

If Ron Paul isn't a worthy candidate, then no one is (so far).

Although maybe Ralph Nader will jump in the race. From what I've seen of him talking, his ideas make a lot of sense.

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Nicholas Weeks
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Re: Yahoo economists: Obama reelection's in the bag

Postby Nicholas Weeks » Sun Feb 19, 2012 10:31 pm

A bodhisattva does not become weary of evil beings nor does he commit the error of bringing forth thoughts inclined to reject them and cast them aside. Avatamsaka Sutra, ch. 25

Josef
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Re: Yahoo economists: Obama reelection's in the bag

Postby Josef » Sun Feb 19, 2012 10:48 pm


Josef
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Re: Yahoo economists: Obama reelection's in the bag

Postby Josef » Sun Feb 19, 2012 10:50 pm

Or maybe myself.
I have a really good idea for democratizing the tax system. :soapbox:

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Re: Yahoo economists: Obama reelection's in the bag

Postby DGA » Sat Feb 25, 2012 4:32 pm

Useful analysis of the recent twists and turns of the GOP nomination process, in context (particularly useful for people outside the US who are scratching their heads and wondering how it's possible for as much as 6% of the population to take Ron Paul seriously):

http://www.rollingstone.com/politics/bl ... =pulsenews

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Lhug-Pa
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Re: Yahoo economists: Obama reelection's in the bag

Postby Lhug-Pa » Sat Feb 25, 2012 7:45 pm

All I'm saying, is that even IF Ron Paul can't be taken completely seriously, he can still be taken more seriously than Barack Obama and the rest of the GOP candidates combined.

In other words, name one candidate, Republican or Democrat, besides Ron Paul who has half a chance at becoming president and who isn't a warmonger.

Someone mentioned John Huntsman as a good candidate, but I think he's pretty much out of the race.

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AdmiralJim
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Re: Yahoo economists: Obama reelection's in the bag

Postby AdmiralJim » Sat Feb 25, 2012 9:57 pm

I just hope that the UK doesn't get sucked into this election, I remember the American health reform debate and how the NHS bizarrely got dragged into it - after watching a recent documentary about the American health system I am glad someone wouldn't get left to die of a hernia across here because they couldn't afford it. I also remember some ignorant tv news reader from I think it was fox news saying that if Stephen Hawking wouldn't be alive if he was left with the NHS. The idiot failing to realise the guy was British, which prompted Hawking to say that he was only alive because of NHS treatment of his motor neuron disease. :soapbox:
I don't know where we are going but it will be nice when we get there

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Lhug-Pa
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Re: Yahoo economists: Obama reelection's in the bag

Postby Lhug-Pa » Tue Sep 11, 2012 10:30 pm


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Konchog1
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Re: Yahoo economists: Obama reelection's in the bag

Postby Konchog1 » Wed Sep 12, 2012 4:33 am

Equanimity is the ground. Love is the moisture. Compassion is the seed. Bodhicitta is the result.

-Paraphrase of Khensur Rinpoche Lobsang Tsephel citing the Guhyasamaja Tantra

"All memories and thoughts are the union of emptiness and knowing, the Mind.
Without attachment, self-liberating, like a snake in a knot.
Through the qualities of meditating in that way,
Mental obscurations are purified and the dharmakaya is attained."

-Ra Lotsawa, All-pervading Melodious Drumbeats


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