Search found 150 matches

by mikenz66
Fri May 29, 2020 3:21 am
Forum: Lounge
Topic: What are you doing about the coronavirus?
Replies: 1116
Views: 47778

Re: What are you doing about the coronavirus?

Because when you actually dig down into the numbers, whilst as a quick defibrillator shock to bump start Economy, the tax rates when settled down actually benefit the rich and the poor will be left with 90% of all tax revenue collections to repay the stimulus when the dust has settled. Plus any sma...
by mikenz66
Sat May 09, 2020 3:47 am
Forum: Tibetan Buddhism
Topic: Vesak 2020
Replies: 11
Views: 586

Re: Vesak 2020

Thanks for the replies. My confusion remains! It's a bit of a dog's breakfast.... It's only an issue because we now have access to these multiple calendars, rather than just going by whatever happened to be the local convention. The only really important thing is that all the locals turn up on the ...
by mikenz66
Mon Apr 20, 2020 11:38 pm
Forum: Lounge
Topic: What are you doing about the coronavirus?
Replies: 1116
Views: 47778

Re: What are you doing about the coronavirus?

Bummer. we would have been in retreat with Sangye Khandro and Lama Chonam in NZ. This? http://www.nyima-tashi.org.nz/product/teachings-retreat-with-lama-chonam-sangye-khandro/ You should have come earlier Malcolm. You could have enjoyed lockdown with us... :tongue: It's interesting seeing how diffe...
by mikenz66
Tue Apr 14, 2020 4:21 am
Forum: Lounge
Topic: The World’s First Poor Rich Country
Replies: 60
Views: 1804

Re: The World’s First Poor Rich Country

I wonder why the present differences between us are so great. One big one, surely, is that you had to fight real wars to get the English out, and then to unify your country. Is this where your gun culture comes from? The two things that come to mind are that Australia is still connected to the stab...
by mikenz66
Tue Apr 07, 2020 11:51 pm
Forum: Lounge
Topic: What are you doing about the coronavirus?
Replies: 1116
Views: 47778

Re: What are you doing about the coronavirus?

The compelling argument here is that we can keep the infection rate really low once we have good tracking and testing. Then can open up the country internally but be very strict at the borders. Australia can probably do the same - Australia is actually just a few quite separate states of a few milli...
by mikenz66
Tue Apr 07, 2020 10:42 pm
Forum: Lounge
Topic: What are you doing about the coronavirus?
Replies: 1116
Views: 47778

Re: What are you doing about the coronavirus?

Covid 19 coronavirus: Washington Post - New Zealand isn't just flattening the curve, it's squashing it' The Washington post has an article about how we are doing down in New Zealand. Here is a local report: https://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/news/article.cfm?c_id=1&objectid=12323270 Here's the Washingto...
by mikenz66
Tue Apr 07, 2020 12:07 am
Forum: Lounge
Topic: What are you doing about the coronavirus?
Replies: 1116
Views: 47778

Re: What are you doing about the coronavirus?

21 million / 1.7 billion is 1.2% but in any event the percent decrease is irrelevant. It is the total number that matters. Why did those accounts lapse? It could be from migrant workers going home, it could be extra accounts lapsing, or it could be . . . they died (from various causes including cor...
by mikenz66
Mon Apr 06, 2020 11:32 pm
Forum: Lounge
Topic: What are you doing about the coronavirus?
Replies: 1116
Views: 47778

Re: What are you doing about the coronavirus?

(Apologies if this has already been mentioned, haven't read every post) China has a 21 million drop in cell phone users. Some of this is from migrant workers heading back to their home country; but certainly not all of the 21 million. The Chinese use their cell phones for everything, including maki...
by mikenz66
Mon Apr 06, 2020 5:21 am
Forum: Lounge
Topic: What are you doing about the coronavirus?
Replies: 1116
Views: 47778

Re: What are you doing about the coronavirus?

It is useful to compare the numbers with the baseline death rate to get some perspective, but I think it is better to compare the daily rates than yearly totals. The peak predicted in a few days in New York State is 878 on April 9: http://covid19.healthdata.org/projections On an average day there wo...
by mikenz66
Mon Apr 06, 2020 2:55 am
Forum: Lounge
Topic: What are you doing about the coronavirus?
Replies: 1116
Views: 47778

Re: What are you doing about the coronavirus?

...whether the disruption of shutting down is worse than the disruption of not shutting down and having a complete overloading of our health systems. There’s an assumption here that it’s an either-or situation. If left to burn through the herd and overwhelm the healthcare system there would be pani...
by mikenz66
Sun Apr 05, 2020 10:26 am
Forum: Lounge
Topic: What are you doing about the coronavirus?
Replies: 1116
Views: 47778

Re: What are you doing about the coronavirus?

Wow, Nemo, you're depressing today... :thinking: I did find it interesting that people from the Fed, etc, were arguing that a shutdown was better for the economy. Even if this particular analysis is not really comparable to the current situation. It's a tough question to answer in advance - whether ...
by mikenz66
Sun Apr 05, 2020 5:57 am
Forum: Lounge
Topic: What are you doing about the coronavirus?
Replies: 1116
Views: 47778

Re: What are you doing about the coronavirus?

So I got a sort of answer from pretty high up in public health. "If we shut down hard now we save both people and the economy." Verbatim quote. I was neither smart or ahead of the curve. They did all the math 2 months ago, chose the best plan and covered their legal exposure. I was just following t...
by mikenz66
Thu Apr 02, 2020 9:18 pm
Forum: Lounge
Topic: What are you doing about the coronavirus?
Replies: 1116
Views: 47778

Re: What are you doing about the coronavirus?

Here's an article from The Atlantic that summarises many of the things that we've been discussing in this threat: Don’t Believe the COVID-19 Models. That’s not what they’re for. https://www.theatlantic.com/technology/archive/2020/04/coronavirus-models-arent-supposed-be-right/609271/ :heart: Mike
by mikenz66
Tue Mar 31, 2020 9:00 am
Forum: Lounge
Topic: What are you doing about the coronavirus?
Replies: 1116
Views: 47778

Re: What are you doing about the coronavirus?

Thanks for the insetting discussion. R0 of 3.5, fatality rate of 0.4% means about 32k dead in Wuhan off the top of my head to reach herd immunity. 0.5% is literally the worst. That is the most damned if you do damned if you don't number in the whole collection. It seems to me that the fatality rate ...
by mikenz66
Mon Mar 30, 2020 10:52 pm
Forum: Lounge
Topic: What are you doing about the coronavirus?
Replies: 1116
Views: 47778

Re: What are you doing about the coronavirus?

Hi Nemo, Thanks for your very interesting sharing. You've made a lot of the Italy figures. Is there any useful insight from the deaths in other places, such as New York? Here in New Zealand we've gone into a much more strict lockdown than almost anywhere in the West. As a rather trivial example, It ...
by mikenz66
Sat Mar 28, 2020 1:47 am
Forum: Lounge
Topic: What are you doing about the coronavirus?
Replies: 1116
Views: 47778

Re: What are you doing about the coronavirus?

Thanks, that's awesome.
Here's the link to the interactive graph, if you want to experiment with that. https://aatishb.com/covidtrends/

Mike
by mikenz66
Sat Mar 28, 2020 1:12 am
Forum: Lounge
Topic: What are you doing about the coronavirus?
Replies: 1116
Views: 47778

Re: What are you doing about the coronavirus?

Are there continuously updated online graphs for NYC similar to these? There's a daily breakdown of confirmed cases in NY counties. https://coronavirus.health.ny.gov/county-county-breakdown-positive-cases But I don't know of a graph per se. Thanks. May you and your wife we safe and well. :anjali: M...
by mikenz66
Sat Mar 28, 2020 12:53 am
Forum: Lounge
Topic: What are you doing about the coronavirus?
Replies: 1116
Views: 47778

Re: What are you doing about the coronavirus?

Here in NY Gov. Cuomo mentioned in an interview that the crest of the wave is expected in about 3 weeks. That would put it around April 19th. I’m sure he was speaking about either NYC or NYState. I find it odd that kind of information isn’t announced more broadly. Are there continuously updated onl...
by mikenz66
Thu Mar 26, 2020 10:54 pm
Forum: Lounge
Topic: What are you doing about the coronavirus?
Replies: 1116
Views: 47778

Re: What are you doing about the coronavirus?

Yes, it's scary. I'm hoping we went into lockdown soon enough. We have 5 M people, about 300 confirmed cases, and only about 250 ventilators in the entire country...

:heart:
Mike
by mikenz66
Thu Mar 26, 2020 10:44 pm
Forum: Lounge
Topic: What are you doing about the coronavirus?
Replies: 1116
Views: 47778

Re: What are you doing about the coronavirus?

live press briefing about to begin: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GGowUgT0Fr4 Virgo He really doesn't inspire confidence, does he? Amazing how he can talk for so long without saying anything... :thinking: But "it will be a great day..." one day... :heart: Mike He managed to say that " nobody coul...

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